U.S. Dollar Best Of The Worst; Gold Best Of The Best

Among the major fiat currencies in the world today, the U.S. dollar is “the best of the worst.” What that means is that there are no better alternatives.

BRICS – QUESTIONABLE MOTIVES

That is especially true when one considers all of the nonsense and suppositions stemming from statements made by member nation representatives of BRICS. Both Russia and China are foremost in their efforts to talk the dollar into disrespect and disrepute. Their motives, however, have nothing to do with providing a better alternative.

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Gold Price, Inflation, Dollar Collapse, & BRICS

GOLD PRICE, INFLATION, DOLLAR COLLAPSE

Expectations for gold to move higher in price are often tied to worsening inflation and a possible collapse in the U.S. dollar.

That sounds logical and there is historical precedent to support such expectations; but, some clarification is necessary first.

DEFINITION OF INFLATION 

Inflation is the debasement of money by governments and central banks. The inflation is intentional and all governments inflate and destroy their own currencies.

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Gold Convertibility – NOT Gold Backing

GOLD CONVERTIBILITY IS THE KEY

All the talk about BRICS countries possible issuance (not anytime soon) of a gold-backed currency, and most of the analysis, misses a key point.

The success of any fiat currency or real money substitute (in other words, anything other than gold itself as the medium of exchange) depends on its convertibility into gold – on demand.

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Gold Is LITERALLY Priceless

GOLD IS PRICELESS

Over 5000 years of recorded history, gold has proven itself to be real money. Gold’s value is in its use as money. That value is unquestioned.

Whatever arguments are put forth against gold’s use as money are attempts by government to free itself from the restrictions that gold imposes. Gold, when used properly,  limits the ability of government to inflate and debase its money.

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Gold And The Normalcy Bias

GOLD AND THE NORMALCY BIAS

We think we know most (if not, all) of what we need to know about gold. Investors do their research and marketers spin their best yarn(s). Support is offered with an amazing array of fundamental and technical factors on display for all to see. But what are we not seeing?

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What’s Next For Gold Is Always About The US Dollar

Since the origin of the Federal Reserve in 1913 the US dollar has lost ninety-nine percent of its purchasing power.

Not coincidentally, but in direct reflection of the dollar’s loss in purchasing power, the price of gold has multiplied one hundred fold from $20.67 oz to $2060 oz as of August 2020.

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Comparing Bitcoin To Gold

Comparing Bitcoin To Gold – Store(s) Of Value?

Mark Cuban claims that Bitcoin is a better store of value than gold. Is he correct?

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Gold Prices – Don’t Get Too Excited

GOOD NEWS… The rebound in gold prices from their recent low has awakened new fervor among those looking for the elusive moonshot. The ‘obvious’ signs of much higher inflation have emboldened those who are inclined to predict ever higher gold prices.

Contrastingly, the chart of GLD prices pictured below doesn’t look all that great…

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Gold Prices Then (3/2020) And Now (3/2021)

GOLD PRICES THEN

A year ago this past week marked the onset of the Covid-19 Pandemic. It also was the last full week of trading in the financial markets preceding crashes in all markets and a near-complete, albeit temporary, shutdown of economic activity.

Subsequent rebounds in stocks, bonds and real estate took valuations to levels as high  or higher (much higher for stocks and gold) than before the turbulence took hold. Some might refer to those valuations as nose-bleed levels, although the summit for peak ascension is always moving when the effects of inflation are factored in.

Gold had its day in the sun, too.

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Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold – How Much Are They Worth?

STOCKS – BITCOIN – GOLD 

Stock prices, according to the S&P 500, are up seventy percent from their lows last April. The Nasdaq Composite at its most recent high point was up even more, sporting a ninety-five percent increase from its nadir. A number of individual stocks have done even better.

For the entire year 2020, however, stocks were up a more modest sixteen percent (S&P 500) and only seven percent for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

However, the outsized performance of the Nasdaq was even more apparent on a full calendar year basis. For 2020 the Nasdaq was up forty-three percent. Relative to its peers, the average Nasdaq stock was up more than three to four times as much as non-Nasdaq stocks.

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